Match context

The upcoming match between Estudiantes L.P. and U. Catolica is scheduled for 12.08.2026 00:30 in CONMEBOL Libertadores. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Estudiantes L.P. are in position 2 with 9 points. The stored form sequence is WLDDW. U. Catolica are in position 1 with 13 points. The stored form sequence is WWDWW.

Recent results

Estudiantes L.P. recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWWLDLD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. U. Catolica recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLWWWWWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Estudiantes L.P. or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.75%, 25.38% and 15.86%. The model momentum difference is 42.89 points in favour of Estudiantes L.P.. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.77%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Estudiantes L.P. -0.5 / U. Catolica +0.5 supports Estudiantes L.P. by an average 2.91 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Estudiantes L.P. and U. Catolica ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Estudiantes L.P. at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.91 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.