Match context

The upcoming match between Santos and UCV is scheduled for 29.07.2026 00:30 in CONMEBOL Sudamericana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Santos are in position 2 with 7 points after 7 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDDD.

Recent results

Santos recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWWLDLWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. UCV recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLDDWWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Santos recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and UCV recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Santos to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.67%, 16.40% and 9.93%. The model momentum difference is 63.75 points in favour of Santos. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.70%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 0.5 (odds 17, score 82/100, 81.69% bucket win rate across 1682 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Santos and UCV ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal at odds of 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.