Match context

The upcoming match between Burgan and Shamiya is scheduled for 17.08.2026 17:15 in Division 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Burgan are in position 6 with 16 points after 16 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL. Shamiya are in position 7 with 10 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 1 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW.

Recent results

Burgan recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDLLLWDL. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Shamiya recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLWLLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 3.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgan recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Shamiya recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Burgan to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.32%, 21.37% and 16.32%. The model momentum difference is 46.00 points in favour of Burgan. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.26%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.82).

What happened in the match

The match between Burgan and Shamiya ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.