Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua is scheduled for 09.08.2026 18:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Garcilaso are in position 11 with 3 points after 20 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. UCV Moquegua are in position 13 with 2 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLDL.

Recent results

Deportivo Garcilaso recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDWLDWDW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. UCV Moquegua recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDDDWLDLD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and UCV Moquegua recorded 1 wins. The average total was 0.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 89%; over 9.5 corners — 80%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Deportivo Garcilaso to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.00%, 22.76% and 16.23%. The model momentum difference is 44.77 points in favour of Deportivo Garcilaso. The input data quality score is 97/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.67%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 1 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.