Match context

The upcoming match between FBC Melgar and FC Cajamarca is scheduled for 09.08.2026 20:30 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FBC Melgar are in position 1 with 6 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDW. FC Cajamarca are in position 15 with 1 points after 20 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDDW.

Recent results

FBC Melgar recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDDLWDWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Cajamarca recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLDDDWWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, FBC Melgar recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and FC Cajamarca recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 91%; over 9.5 corners — 81%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FBC Melgar to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.16%, 19.44% and 8.40%. The model momentum difference is 63.76 points in favour of FBC Melgar. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.64%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between FBC Melgar and FC Cajamarca ended 2-4. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.