Match context

The upcoming match between UTC and Comerciantes Unidos is scheduled for 22.08.2026 18:15 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
UTC are in position 17 with 2 points after 20 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLD. Comerciantes Unidos are in position 11 with 5 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDDL.

Recent results

UTC recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDLWWDDD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Comerciantes Unidos recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDDDLLDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, UTC recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Comerciantes Unidos recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

An earlier confirmed reversal signal with Pinnacle supported Comerciantes Unidos through Away +0.25. The newer normalized movement for UTC -0.25 / Comerciantes Unidos +0.25 supports Comerciantes Unidos by an average 6.25 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. The directions conflict, so the Asian signal is not used as a standalone selection.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for UTC at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.30 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 30.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 22 completed matches (95.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Comerciantes Unidos away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 55.6%, 55.6% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between UTC and Comerciantes Unidos ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.7 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UTC at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.3 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, UTC received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 30%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Comerciantes Unidos away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. In this game, Comerciantes Unidos received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 3.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.