Match context

The upcoming match between UCV Moquegua and Alianza Atletico is scheduled for 30.08.2026 16:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
UCV Moquegua are in position 12 with 7 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLDD. Alianza Atletico are in position 8 with 10 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLW.

Recent results

UCV Moquegua recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLDDDDDW. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Alianza Atletico recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWLWLWWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, UCV Moquegua recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Alianza Atletico recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.35; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 98%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair UCV Moquegua -0.5 / Alianza Atletico +0.5 supports Alianza Atletico by an average 5.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for UCV Moquegua at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.09 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 90.9%, 63.6%, 27.3% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Alianza Atletico away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.42 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 91.7%, 58.3%, 41.7%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between UCV Moquegua and Alianza Atletico ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.35 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 98%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UCV Moquegua at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.09 total cards per match. In this game, UCV Moquegua received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.09 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alianza Atletico away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0.42 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Alianza Atletico received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.7% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Alianza Atletico at +0.5. The stored market movement was 5.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-4, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.