Match context

The upcoming match between Alianza Lima and Universitario is scheduled for 13.09.2026 01:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Alianza Lima are in position 9 with 13 points after 20 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWD. Universitario are in position 4 with 29 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLDW.

Recent results

Alianza Lima recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDWDWDWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Universitario recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWDLWWWD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima recorded 1 wins, there were 4 draws, and Universitario recorded 5 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

An earlier confirmed reversal signal with Pinnacle supported Universitario through Away +0.25. The newer normalized movement for Alianza Lima -0.25 / Universitario +0.25 supports Universitario by an average 7.20 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. The directions conflict, so the Asian signal is not used as a standalone selection.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Alianza Lima at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 70.0%, 30.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Universitario away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.64 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 54.5%, 27.3%, 18.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Alianza Lima and Universitario ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alianza Lima at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Alianza Lima received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universitario away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.64 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, Universitario received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.18 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.