Match context

The upcoming match between Union Magdalena and Orsomarso is scheduled for 31.07.2026 23:00 in Primera B. The listed venue is Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Union Magdalena are in position 13 with 0 points after 22 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is L. Orsomarso are in position 7 with 3 points after 16 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Union Magdalena recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWLWDWLW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Orsomarso recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLDDLLDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Union Magdalena recorded 6 wins, there were 4 draws, and Orsomarso recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Union Magdalena to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.30%, 23.66% and 16.04%. The model momentum difference is 44.25 points in favour of Union Magdalena. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.74%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Union Magdalena 0 / Orsomarso 0 supports Union Magdalena by an average 3.33 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Union Magdalena and Orsomarso ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Union Magdalena at 0. The stored market movement was 3.33 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.