Match context

The upcoming match between Real Cartagena and Tigres FC is scheduled for 29.08.2026 22:30 in Primera B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Real Cartagena are in position 1 with 10 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDW. Tigres FC are in position 6 with 7 points after 23 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDL.

Recent results

Real Cartagena recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDWLDLW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tigres FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLLLDLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Tigres FC recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Real Cartagena to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.20%, 18.51% and 10.28%. The model momentum difference is 60.92 points in favour of Real Cartagena. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 11.80, score 87/100, 87.27% group success rate across 110 observations). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 78/100, 77.89% bucket win rate across 95 observations). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Real Cartagena at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 33.3%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 23 completed matches (47.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Tigres FC away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 33.3%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 9 of 25 completed matches (36.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Real Cartagena and Tigres FC ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Cartagena at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Real Cartagena received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tigres FC away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 1.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. In this game, Tigres FC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11.8. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.