Match context

The upcoming match between Quindio and Real Santander is scheduled for 05.09.2026 22:00 in Primera B. The listed venue is Estadio Centenario, Armenia. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Quindio are in position 7 with 8 points after 23 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDL. Real Santander are in position 4 with 9 points after 18 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDD.

Recent results

Quindio recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDDWLLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Santander recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDDLLLLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Quindio recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and Real Santander recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Quindio or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.03%, 25.09% and 16.88%. The model momentum difference is 41.15 points in favour of Quindio. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.91%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Quindio 0 / Real Santander 0 supports Real Santander by an average 2.46 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.29, score 81/100, 81.43% bucket win rate across 70 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Quindio at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.20 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 20.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 25 completed matches (36.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Real Santander away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 20 completed matches (25.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Quindio and Real Santander ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Quindio at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.2 total cards per match. In this game, Quindio received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.8 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Santander away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Real Santander received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Real Santander at 0. The stored market movement was 2.46 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.29. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.