Match context

The upcoming match between Alianza Petrolera and Deportivo Pereira is scheduled for 22.08.2026 00:30 in Primera A. The listed venue is Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Alianza Petrolera are in position 15 with 1 points after 21 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDDD. Deportivo Pereira are in position 14 with 1 points after 21 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWL.

Recent results

Alianza Petrolera recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLWDDDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Pereira recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWDLWDL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza Petrolera recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Deportivo Pereira recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Alianza Petrolera or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.75%, 25.99% and 16.27%. The model momentum difference is 41.48 points in favour of Alianza Petrolera. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.55%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Alianza Petrolera -0.5 / Deportivo Pereira +0.5 supports Deportivo Pereira by an average 2.27 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 3.25 yellow cards, 0.42 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 91.7%, 66.7%, 50.0% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 41.7%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Pereira away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 15 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Alianza Petrolera and Deportivo Pereira ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportivo Pereira at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.27 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.