Match context

The upcoming match between Independiente Medellin and Cucuta is scheduled for 23.08.2026 01:15 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Independiente Medellin are in position 2 with 9 points after 22 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW. Cucuta are in position 16 with 1 points after 21 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD.

Recent results

Independiente Medellin recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDWDLWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cucuta recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDLLDDDLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente Medellin recorded 5 wins, there were 1 draws, and Cucuta recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.29 goals per match. Both teams scored in 71.4% of those matches, while 85.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Independiente Medellin to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.91%, 21.61% and 12.48%. The model momentum difference is 53.43 points in favour of Independiente Medellin. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Independiente Medellin 0 / Cucuta 0 supports Independiente Medellin by an average 1.50 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Independiente Medellin at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.70 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Cucuta away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.36 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 45.5%, 45.5%, 27.3% and 27.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Independiente Medellin and Cucuta ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.29 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Independiente Medellin at 0. The stored market movement was 1.5 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.