Match context

The upcoming match between Jaguares and Chico is scheduled for 21.08.2026 21:05 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Jaguares are in position 17 with 1 points after 22 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Chico are in position 20 with 0 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL.

Recent results

Jaguares recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLWDLWD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chico recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDWDWLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jaguares recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Chico recorded 5 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.40; over 7.5 corners — 99%; over 8.5 corners — 87%; over 9.5 corners — 78%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Jaguares or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.82%, 29.38% and 19.79%. The model momentum difference is 31.03 points in favour of Jaguares. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.36%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Jaguares at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 83.3%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 15 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Chico away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.30 yellow cards, 0.30 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 50.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Jaguares and Chico ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 16 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 7.4 total corners. The match recorded 16 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 99%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 87%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 78%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Jaguares at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 3.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. In this game, Jaguares received 7 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 7 in total. That was 3.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chico away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.3 yellow cards, 0.3 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Chico received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.