Match context

The upcoming match between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Cali is scheduled for 27.08.2026 01:30 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atletico Nacional are in position 11 with 6 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL. Deportivo Cali are in position 8 with 7 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWD.

Recent results

Atletico Nacional recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWWLWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Cali recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWWWWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atletico Nacional recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and Deportivo Cali recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Atletico Nacional or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.24%, 23.85% and 16.91%. The model momentum difference is 42.33 points in favour of Atletico Nacional. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.28%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Atletico Nacional 0 / Deportivo Cali 0 supports Atletico Nacional by an average 1.57 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 23 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atletico Nacional at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.90 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 70.0%, 30.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Cali away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.09 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 72.7%, 45.5% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Cali ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Nacional at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.9 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Nacional received 5 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 6 in total. That was 4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Cali away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3.09 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3.27 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Cali received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.27 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 72.7% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Nacional at 0. The stored market movement was 1.57 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.