Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin is scheduled for 04.09.2026 01:00 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Pereira are in position 15 with 5 points after 21 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLL. Independiente Medellin are in position 4 with 12 points after 22 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW.

Recent results

Deportivo Pereira recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLWDWDLW. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Independiente Medellin recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLWDWDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pereira recorded 1 wins, there were 4 draws, and Independiente Medellin recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%; Over 1.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Independiente Medellin (X2) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.05%, 26.79% and 56.16%. The model momentum difference is 39.10 points in favour of Independiente Medellin. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo Pereira at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Independiente Medellin away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 3.71 yellow cards, 0.57 red cards and 4.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 42.9% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 42.9%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Pereira at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Pereira received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.88 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Independiente Medellin away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 3.71 yellow cards, 0.57 red cards and 4.29 total cards per match. In this game, Independiente Medellin received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.29 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 42.9%.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.