Match context

The upcoming match between Alianza Petrolera and Atletico Nacional is scheduled for 30.08.2026 01:30 in Primera A. The listed venue is Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Alianza Petrolera are in position 17 with 2 points after 21 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD. Atletico Nacional are in position 11 with 6 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL.

Recent results

Alianza Petrolera recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLDLLWDD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atletico Nacional recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWWLWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza Petrolera recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Atletico Nacional recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Alianza Petrolera -0.5 / Atletico Nacional +0.5 supports Atletico Nacional by an average 2.26 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 3.31 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 3.69 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 92.3%, 69.2%, 53.8% and 30.8% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 38.5%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Atletico Nacional away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 85.7%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 35.7%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Alianza Petrolera and Atletico Nacional ended 1-5. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 3.31 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 3.69 total cards per match. In this game, Alianza Petrolera received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.69 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 69.2% of matches, 5+ in 30.8%, and a red card in 38.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Nacional away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.43 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Nacional received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 35.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Nacional at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.26 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.