Match context

The upcoming match between America de Cali and Alianza Petrolera is scheduled for 03.09.2026 21:00 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
America de Cali are in position 1 with 17 points after 24 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWW. Alianza Petrolera are in position 18 with 2 points after 21 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL.

Recent results

America de Cali recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWWWDWWL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Alianza Petrolera recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLDLLWD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, America de Cali recorded 7 wins, there were 0 draws, and Alianza Petrolera recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as America de Cali to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.16%, 22.39% and 10.45%. The model momentum difference is 56.72 points in favour of America de Cali. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.97%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for America de Cali at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 3.08 yellow cards, 0.31 red cards and 3.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 84.6%, 76.9%, 38.5% and 30.8% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 30.8%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 70.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between America de Cali and Alianza Petrolera ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for America de Cali at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 3.08 yellow cards, 0.31 red cards and 3.38 total cards per match. In this game, America de Cali received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.38 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 76.9% of matches, 5+ in 30.8%, and a red card in 30.8%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Alianza Petrolera received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.