Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios is scheduled for 06.09.2026 23:10 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Pereira are in position 15 with 5 points after 21 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLL. Millonarios are in position 5 with 11 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDW.

Recent results

Deportivo Pereira recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDDLWDWDL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Millonarios recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDWWLLLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pereira recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and Millonarios recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 30%; Both teams to score — 20%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Millonarios to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 12.62%, 24.27% and 63.11%. The model momentum difference is 50.49 points in favour of Millonarios. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Deportivo Pereira +0.25 / Millonarios -0.25 supports Millonarios by an average 3.87 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 26 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo Pereira at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 44.4%, 44.4% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Millonarios away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 77.8%, 44.4% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.2 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Pereira at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Pereira received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.78 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 22.2%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Millonarios away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. In this game, Millonarios received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 77.8% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Millonarios at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.87 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.