Match context

The upcoming match between Alianza Petrolera and Junior is scheduled for 13.09.2026 01:20 in Primera A. The listed venue is Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Alianza Petrolera are in position 17 with 17 points after 21 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL. Junior are in position 2 with 35 points after 27 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLDL.

Recent results

Alianza Petrolera recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLLDLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Junior recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDLDLDLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza Petrolera recorded 0 wins, there were 3 draws, and Junior recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Alianza Petrolera -0.75 / Junior +0.75 supports Junior by an average 1.55 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.05).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 3.36 yellow cards, 0.36 red cards and 3.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 92.9%, 71.4%, 57.1% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 35.7%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Junior away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.82 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 63.6%, 36.4% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Alianza Petrolera and Junior ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alianza Petrolera at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 3.36 yellow cards, 0.36 red cards and 3.71 total cards per match. In this game, Alianza Petrolera received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.29 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 35.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Junior away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.82 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Junior received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Junior at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.55 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.05. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.