Match context

The upcoming match between La Equidad and Llaneros is scheduled for 12.09.2026 21:05 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
La Equidad are in position 8 with 28 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDDD. Llaneros are in position 14 with 22 points after 22 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWD.

Recent results

La Equidad recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDDDLWWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Llaneros recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWDWDWW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, La Equidad recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Llaneros recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 16.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as La Equidad or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.05%, 27.03% and 18.92%. The model momentum difference is 35.14 points in favour of La Equidad. The input data quality score is 89/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for La Equidad at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.91 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 72.7%, 54.5%, 54.5% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Llaneros away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.10 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 50.0% and 30.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between La Equidad and Llaneros ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.33 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for La Equidad at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.91 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, La Equidad received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Llaneros away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 3.1 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.3 total cards per match. In this game, Llaneros received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 30%, and a red card in 20%.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.