Match context

The upcoming match between Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima is scheduled for 12.09.2026 01:30 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Santa Fe are in position 7 with 10 points after 25 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDDW. Deportes Tolima are in position 2 with 16 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWL.

Recent results

Santa Fe recorded 3 wins, 7 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWDDDDWWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportes Tolima recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDLWLWLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Deportes Tolima recorded 3 wins. The average total was 1.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Santa Fe -0.75 / Deportes Tolima +0.75 supports Deportes Tolima by an average 3.99 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 32 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Santa Fe at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.21 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 78.6%, 35.7%, 14.3% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportes Tolima away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.45 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 45.5%, 18.2% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Santa Fe at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.21 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. In this game, Santa Fe received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.64 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 35.7% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportes Tolima away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.45 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. In this game, Deportes Tolima received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 45.5% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportes Tolima at +0.75. The stored market movement was 3.99 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.