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W W D ? ?
2
🏟 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia , Como
✔ Full Time
1
D L L ? ?
Ball possession
65%
35%
3.24
Expected goals (xG)
0.97
28
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
4
9
Shots off target
7
11
Corner kicks
4
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
4
Offsides
2
24
Shots inside the box
7
4
Shots outside the box
5
12
Blocked shots
1
3
Goalkeeper saves
5
8
Fouls
4
90%
Pass accuracy
81%
583
Accurate passes
291
649
Total passes
358
1.29
Goals prevented
1.29

🔁 Head-to-Head

3
4
3
🟢 Como 🟡 Draws Parma 🔴
Date Match Score
17.05.2026 Como - Parma 1 : 0
25.10.2025 Parma - Como 0 : 0
03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0 : 1
19.10.2024 Como - Parma 1 : 1
24.02.2024 Como - Parma 1 : 1
20.10.2023 Parma - Como 2 : 1
18.03.2023 Como - Parma 2 : 0
29.10.2022 Parma - Como 1 : 0
06.04.2022 Parma - Como 4 : 3
28.11.2021 Como - Parma 1 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Como

Date Match Score Res
10.09.2026 Como - RB Leipzig 4 - 1 W
04.09.2026 Genoa - Como 1 - 4 W
30.08.2026 Napoli - Como 1 - 2 W
22.08.2026 Udinese - Como 1 - 1 D
16.08.2026 Liverpool - Como 2 - 0 L

📆 Latest Matches: Parma

Date Match Score Res
06.09.2026 Parma - Monza 1 - 1 D
01.09.2026 Parma - Cremonese 0 - 2 L
29.08.2026 Juventus - Parma 2 - 0 L
22.08.2026 Parma - Cagliari 0 - 1 L
14.08.2026 Parma - Catania 2 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Como and Parma is scheduled for 14.09.2026 16:30 in Serie A. The listed venue is Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Como are in position 6 with 7 points after 3 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWD. Parma are in position 17 with 1 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLL.

Recent results

Como recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDLDWWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Parma recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWLDDWL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Como recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Parma recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Como to win with 77% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 77.31%, 16.40% and 6.29%. The model momentum difference is 71.02 points in favour of Como. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.68%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 81/100, 80.93% bucket win rate across 624 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Parma away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 3 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-13 20:30:05 · Locked: 2026-09-14 18:10:13

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Como and Parma ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Parma away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Parma received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-14 20:51:21
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