Match context

The upcoming match between Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL is scheduled for 17.10.2026 23:07 in Liga MX. The listed venue is Estadio AKRON, Zapopan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guadalajara Chivas are in position 5 with 19 points after 11 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWW. Tigres UANL are in position 13 with 13 points after 11 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDD.

Recent results

Guadalajara Chivas recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDWWDWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tigres UANL recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDDWLDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara Chivas recorded 1 wins, there were 4 draws, and Tigres UANL recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 13.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 / Tigres UANL +1.5 supports Guadalajara Chivas by an average 2.67 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 80/100, 80% bucket win rate across 560 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Guadalajara Chivas at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.40 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 11 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Tigres UANL away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 11 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 16 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 13.3 total corners. The match recorded 16 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guadalajara Chivas at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.4 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 1.8 total cards per match. In this game, Guadalajara Chivas received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tigres UANL away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Tigres UANL received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 50%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Guadalajara Chivas at -1.5. The stored market movement was 2.67 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 16 verifiable pre-match indicators, 13 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.