Match context

The upcoming match between CSKA Sofia and Dunav Ruse is scheduled for 02.08.2026 18:15 in First League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
CSKA Sofia are in position 5 with 4 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WD. Dunav Ruse are in position 14 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL.

Recent results

CSKA Sofia recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDDWWWLLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dunav Ruse recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDDDWLDWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Dunav Ruse recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.75 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as CSKA Sofia to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.64%, 17.00% and 9.35%. The model momentum difference is 64.29 points in favour of CSKA Sofia. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.47%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair CSKA Sofia 0 / Dunav Ruse 0 supports Dunav Ruse by an average 1.01 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 13 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between CSKA Sofia and Dunav Ruse ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.75 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Dunav Ruse at 0. The stored market movement was 1.01 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.