Match context

The upcoming match between Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge is scheduled for 08.08.2026 12:00 in 1. Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Aarhus Fremad are in position 6 with 3 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is LW. HB Koge are in position 12 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL.

Recent results

Aarhus Fremad recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWLLDWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. HB Koge recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLLLWD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and HB Koge recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Aarhus Fremad or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.83%, 24.54% and 19.63%. The model momentum difference is 36.20 points in favour of Aarhus Fremad. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Aarhus Fremad -0.25 / HB Koge +0.25 supports Aarhus Fremad by an average 1.16 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 16 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 76/100, 76.01% bucket win rate across 321 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Aarhus Fremad at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.16 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.