Match context

The upcoming match between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap is scheduled for 19.10.2026 18:00 in Eerste Divisie. The listed venue is Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Jong Ajax are in position 18 with 8 points after 10 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLW. De Graafschap are in position 15 with 11 points after 10 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLW.

Recent results

Jong Ajax recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWDWLLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. De Graafschap recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWLLLLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and De Graafschap recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02). At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 84.78% group success rate across 624 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Jong Ajax at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 10 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for De Graafschap away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 10 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Jong Ajax at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, Jong Ajax received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for De Graafschap away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, De Graafschap received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.