Match context

The upcoming match between Legia Warszawa and Radomiak Radom is scheduled for 14.08.2026 18:30 in Ekstraklasa. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Legia Warszawa are in position 1 with 7 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWW. Radomiak Radom are in position 12 with 3 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLW.

Recent results

Legia Warszawa recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLWWWWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Radomiak Radom recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWLWLLWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia Warszawa recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Radomiak Radom recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Legia Warszawa to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.77%, 23.37% and 15.85%. The model momentum difference is 44.92 points in favour of Legia Warszawa. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.84%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Legia Warszawa 0 / Radomiak Radom 0 supports Legia Warszawa by an average 2.00 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 28 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 77.18% bucket win rate across 390 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Legia Warszawa at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 3 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Radomiak Radom away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 5.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 5.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0% and 100.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 3 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Legia Warszawa and Radomiak Radom ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 2 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.7 total corners. The match recorded 2 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Legia Warszawa at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0 total cards per match. In this game, Legia Warszawa received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Radomiak Radom away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 5 total cards per match. In this game, Radomiak Radom received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 100%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Legia Warszawa at 0. The stored market movement was 2 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 16 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 9 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.