Match context

The upcoming match between Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda is scheduled for 30.08.2026 18:00 in Super Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Zemun are in position 14 with 1 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL. FK Crvena Zvezda are in position 1 with 12 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWW.

Recent results

Zemun recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDDWLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. FK Crvena Zvezda recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWLWWWW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zemun recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and FK Crvena Zvezda recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 94%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FK Crvena Zvezda to win with 88% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 3.23%, 8.51% and 88.27%. The model momentum difference is 85.04 points in favour of FK Crvena Zvezda. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Zemun 0 / FK Crvena Zvezda 0 supports FK Crvena Zvezda by an average 1.02 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Zemun at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 3.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 66.7% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 6 of 6 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.9 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 94%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Zemun at home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 3.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4 total cards per match. In this game, Zemun received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FK Crvena Zvezda at 0. The stored market movement was 1.02 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.