Match context

The upcoming match between Zemun and Železničar Pančevo is scheduled for 11.10.2026 17:00 in Super Liga. The listed venue is Stadion u Gornjoj Varoši, Zemun. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Zemun are in position 14 with 3 points after 10 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLLL. Železničar Pančevo are in position 6 with 14 points after 9 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLW.

Recent results

Zemun recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLLLLLLLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Železničar Pančevo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWLDDLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zemun recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Železničar Pančevo recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.03; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 94%; over 9.5 corners — 85%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Železničar Pančevo to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 16.04%, 22.49% and 61.47%. The model momentum difference is 45.44 points in favour of Železničar Pančevo. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.79%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Zemun -0.25 / Železničar Pančevo +0.25 supports Železničar Pančevo by an average 5.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Zemun at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.40 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 3.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 10 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Železničar Pančevo away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 66.7% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 66.7%. Season card data is available for 9 of 9 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Zemun and Železničar Pančevo ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.03 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 94%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 85%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Zemun at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3.4 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 3.8 total cards per match. In this game, Zemun received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Železničar Pančevo away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 4 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. In this game, Železničar Pančevo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 3.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 66.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Železničar Pančevo at +0.25. The stored market movement was 5.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.