Match context

The upcoming match between Loznica and Naftagas is scheduled for 31.07.2026 18:00 in Prva Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Loznica recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWDWLWDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Naftagas recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWWLWWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Loznica or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.54%, 25.71% and 18.75%. The model momentum difference is 36.80 points in favour of Loznica. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.00%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Loznica -0.25 / Naftagas +0.25 supports Naftagas by an average 1.34 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Loznica and Naftagas ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Naftagas at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.34 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.