Match context

The upcoming match between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 is scheduled for 11.09.2026 17:30 in Challenge League. The listed venue is Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are in position 1 with 17 points after 7 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWW. FC WIL 1900 are in position 8 with 6 points after 7 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDLL.

Recent results

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWWWDWWL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC WIL 1900 recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDLWLLWWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy recorded 3 wins, there were 5 draws, and FC WIL 1900 recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.34%, 21.55% and 18.10%. The model momentum difference is 42.24 points in favour of Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.48%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -0.5 / FC WIL 1900 +0.5 supports FC WIL 1900 by an average 1.09 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 7 completed matches (57.1% coverage). The discipline profile for FC WIL 1900 away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 7 completed matches (85.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC WIL 1900 away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, FC WIL 1900 received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 50%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC WIL 1900 at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.09 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.