Match context

The upcoming match between FC Winterthur and Stade Nyonnais is scheduled for 23.10.2026 18:15 in Challenge League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Winterthur are in position 3 with 18 points after 10 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWD. Stade Nyonnais are in position 10 with 5 points after 10 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLD.

Recent results

FC Winterthur recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWWWWDDW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Stade Nyonnais recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLDLDWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, FC Winterthur recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Stade Nyonnais recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Winterthur to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.59%, 15.83% and 9.58%. The model momentum difference is 65.01 points in favour of FC Winterthur. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.00%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Away +2. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Winterthur at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 10 completed matches (90.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Stade Nyonnais away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 10 completed matches (90.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Winterthur and Stade Nyonnais ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Winterthur at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, FC Winterthur received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Stade Nyonnais away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Stade Nyonnais received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Stade Nyonnais at +2. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.