Match context

The upcoming match between Kauno Žalgiris II and Atmosfera is scheduled for 01.08.2026 11:00 in 1 Lyga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kauno Žalgiris II are in position 15 with 7 points after 17 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL. Atmosfera are in position 8 with 24 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLD.

Recent results

Kauno Žalgiris II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLLWWLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atmosfera recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDWDLWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris II recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Atmosfera recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.13 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Atmosfera (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.80%, 23.45% and 56.75%. The model momentum difference is 36.95 points in favour of Atmosfera. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kauno Žalgiris II 0 / Atmosfera 0 supports Atmosfera by an average 2.77 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.65). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Kauno Žalgiris II and Atmosfera ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.13 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atmosfera at 0. The stored market movement was 2.77 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.