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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Hegelmann II 🟡 Draws Garliava 🔴
Date Match Score
21.03.2026 Garliava - Hegelmann II 1 : 1
11.10.2024 Garliava - Hegelmann II 2 : 0
26.05.2024 Hegelmann II - Garliava 1 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Hegelmann II

Date Match Score Res
11.09.2026 Transinvest 2 - Hegelmann II 4 - 1 L
04.09.2026 Hegelmann II - FA Šiauliai II 5 - 1 W
29.08.2026 Kauno Žalgiris II - Hegelmann II 3 - 0 L
21.08.2026 Hegelmann II - Ekranas 3 - 2 W
14.08.2026 Be1 NFA - Hegelmann II 2 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Garliava

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Garliava - BFA 2 - 3 L
05.09.2026 Ekranas - Garliava 1 - 0 L
29.08.2026 Garliava - Babrungas 0 - 1 L
21.08.2026 Be1 NFA - Garliava 2 - 0 L
15.08.2026 Garliava - Tauras 0 - 1 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Hegelmann II and Garliava is scheduled for 07.08.2026 16:00 in 1 Lyga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Hegelmann II are in position 13 with 13 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 42 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW. Garliava are in position 11 with 22 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Hegelmann II recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWWLLLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Garliava recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLLDDLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann II recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Garliava recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Garliava to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.79%, 19.97% and 61.24%. The model momentum difference is 42.46 points in favour of Garliava. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -8.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Hegelmann II 0 / Garliava 0 supports Garliava by an average 6.93 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 81/100, 81.08% bucket win rate across 74 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-06 18:00:05 · Locked: 2026-08-07 17:40:03

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Hegelmann II and Garliava ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Garliava at 0. The stored market movement was 6.93 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-07 19:51:03
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