Match context

The upcoming match between Babrungas and Atmosfera is scheduled for 11.09.2026 15:00 in 1 Lyga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Babrungas are in position 2 with 55 points after 18 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWL. Atmosfera are in position 10 with 26 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLDL.

Recent results

Babrungas recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWLWWWWD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atmosfera recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLDLWLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Babrungas recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Atmosfera recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Babrungas or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.54%, 23.51% and 16.95%. The model momentum difference is 42.59 points in favour of Babrungas. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.19 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -1.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Babrungas 0 / Atmosfera 0 supports Babrungas by an average 5.91 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 79/100, 79.41% bucket win rate across 102 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atmosfera away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 22 completed matches (9.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Babrungas and Atmosfera ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Babrungas at 0. The stored market movement was 5.91 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.