Match context

The upcoming match between Radomlje and Maribor is scheduled for 13.09.2026 18:15 in 1. SNL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Radomlje are in position 10 with 5 points after 7 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. Maribor are in position 1 with 16 points after 8 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDW.

Recent results

Radomlje recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLDLLLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Maribor recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDWDWDDD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomlje recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Maribor recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Maribor to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 16.42%, 22.57% and 61.01%. The model momentum difference is 44.59 points in favour of Maribor. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.71%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Radomlje 0 / Maribor 0 supports Radomlje by an average 2.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 17 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Radomlje at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 75.0%, 25.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 7 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Maribor away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 8 completed matches (75.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Radomlje and Maribor ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 total goals, while this match produced 3. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Radomlje at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.5 total cards per match. In this game, Radomlje received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Maribor away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Maribor received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Radomlje at 0. The stored market movement was 2.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.