Match context

The upcoming match between AS Eupen and KRC Genk II is scheduled for 15.08.2026 14:00 in Challenger Pro League. The listed venue is Kehrwegstadion, Eupen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

AS Eupen recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWWLDWD. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. KRC Genk II recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWDDDWD. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, AS Eupen recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and KRC Genk II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AS Eupen or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.98%, 24.18% and 18.84%. The model momentum difference is 38.15 points in favour of AS Eupen. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair AS Eupen -0.5 / KRC Genk II +0.5 supports KRC Genk II by an average 1.59 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between AS Eupen and KRC Genk II ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported KRC Genk II at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.59 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.