Match context

The upcoming match between Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez is scheduled for 28.10.2026 21:00 in Liga Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Cobán Imperial recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWWDDDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Suchitepéquez recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDLLDLDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial recorded 5 wins, there were 1 draws, and Suchitepéquez recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Cobán Imperial to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.50%, 22.50% and 15.00%. The model momentum difference is 47.50 points in favour of Cobán Imperial. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.00%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 80/100, 80% bucket win rate across 610 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Cobán Imperial at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 62.5%, 50.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 16 completed matches (93.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Suchitepéquez away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 16 completed matches (56.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cobán Imperial at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. In this game, Cobán Imperial received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Suchitepéquez away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Suchitepéquez received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 40%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.