Match context

The upcoming match between Bangor and Coleraine FC is scheduled for 04.10.2026 14:00 in Premiership. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bangor are in position 11 with 5 points after 9 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDL. Coleraine FC are in position 1 with 22 points after 9 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWW.

Recent results

Bangor recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLDLLLD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Coleraine FC recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWWWDWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangor recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Coleraine FC recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Coleraine FC to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 10.72%, 14.58% and 74.70%. The model momentum difference is 63.98 points in favour of Coleraine FC. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.87%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bangor at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 9 completed matches (77.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Coleraine FC away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 25.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 9 completed matches (77.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bangor and Coleraine FC ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bangor at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Bangor received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Coleraine FC away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. In this game, Coleraine FC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.