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D L W D W
4
🏟
✔ Full Time
0
W W L W D
Ball possession
67%
33%
20
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
4
Shots off target
1
6
Corner kicks
1
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
3
Offsides
1
12
Shots inside the box
5
8
Shots outside the box
2
7
Blocked shots
2
4
Goalkeeper saves
5
5
Fouls
15
454
Accurate passes
188
549
Total passes
271
13
Free Kicks
5

🔁 Head-to-Head

0
0
1
🟢 York 🟡 Draws Swindon Town 🔴
Date Match Score
10.11.2018 Swindon Town - York 2 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: York

Date Match Score Res
05.09.2026 Crewe - York 1 - 1 D
01.09.2026 Cheltenham - York 3 - 2 L
29.08.2026 York - Exeter City 2 - 1 W
22.08.2026 Rotherham - York 1 - 1 D
15.08.2026 York - Bristol Rovers 3 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: Swindon Town

Date Match Score Res
05.09.2026 Swindon Town - Colchester 3 - 1 W
01.09.2026 Swindon Town - Port Vale 3 - 1 W
29.08.2026 Oldham - Swindon Town 3 - 0 L
22.08.2026 Swindon Town - Cheltenham 2 - 1 W
15.08.2026 Northampton - Swindon Town 0 - 0 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between York and Swindon Town is scheduled for 12.09.2026 14:00 in League Two. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
York are in position 9 with 8 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWDW. Swindon Town are in position 2 with 10 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD.

Recent results

York recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWLLDLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Swindon Town recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDLWWLL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, York recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Swindon Town recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.43; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as York or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.12%, 23.20% and 17.68%. The model momentum difference is 41.44 points in favour of York. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.68%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair York +0.75 / Swindon Town -0.75 supports York by an average 1.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.24, score 86/100, 86.21% bucket win rate across 29 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for York at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 5 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Swindon Town away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 5 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-12 15:02:40 · Locked: 2026-09-12 15:40:10

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between York and Swindon Town ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 7 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.43 total corners. The match recorded 7 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for York at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, York received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Swindon Town away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Swindon Town received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported York at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 8.5 corners at odds of 1.24. The actual market outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 9 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-12 18:42:24
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