Match context

The upcoming match between Newry City AFC and Armagh City is scheduled for 04.09.2026 18:45 in Championship. The listed venue is The Showgrounds, Newry. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Newry City AFC are in position 5 with 6 points. The stored form sequence is WLW. Armagh City are in position 15 with 1 points. The stored form sequence is LLD.

Recent results

Newry City AFC recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWWWLDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Armagh City recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLDLLLDL. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newry City AFC recorded 0 wins, there were 3 draws, and Armagh City recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Newry City AFC to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.88%, 22.64% and 14.49%. The model momentum difference is 48.39 points in favour of Newry City AFC. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Newry City AFC -0.25 / Armagh City +0.25 supports Newry City AFC by an average 4.82 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Newry City AFC and Armagh City ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Newry City AFC at -0.25. The stored market movement was 4.82 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.