Match context

The upcoming match between FCSB and Farul Constanta is scheduled for 03.08.2026 18:30 in Liga I. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FCSB are in position 2 with 6 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is WW. Farul Constanta are in position 11 with 3 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WL.

Recent results

FCSB recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLWWLDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Farul Constanta recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDDDDLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FCSB recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Farul Constanta recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FCSB or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.14%, 24.95% and 18.91%. The model momentum difference is 37.23 points in favour of FCSB. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FCSB -0.25 / Farul Constanta +0.25 supports FCSB by an average 3.36 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 14 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 76.85% bucket win rate across 311 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between FCSB and Farul Constanta ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FCSB at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.36 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.