Match context

The upcoming match between Universitatea Craiova and Arges Pitesti is scheduled for 09.08.2026 18:30 in Liga I. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universitatea Craiova are in position 3 with 6 points after 3 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLW. Arges Pitesti are in position 5 with 6 points after 3 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWL.

Recent results

Universitatea Craiova recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDLLWWDWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Arges Pitesti recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDWWDDLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universitatea Craiova recorded 7 wins, there were 0 draws, and Arges Pitesti recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 95%; over 9.5 corners — 85%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universitatea Craiova or draw (1X) with 85% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.19%, 25.37% and 15.44%. The model momentum difference is 43.75 points in favour of Universitatea Craiova. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.60%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Universitatea Craiova -0.25 / Arges Pitesti +0.25 supports Arges Pitesti by an average 1.70 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 17 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Universitatea Craiova and Arges Pitesti ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Arges Pitesti at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.7 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.