Match context

The upcoming match between Lech Poznań II and Grom Nowy Staw is scheduled for 29.08.2026 10:00 in III Liga - Group 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Lech Poznań II are in position 5 with 10 points after 1 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDW. Grom Nowy Staw are in position 15 with 3 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Lech Poznań II recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWDWLDLL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Grom Nowy Staw recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 9 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLDWLL. The averages are 1.78 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Lech Poznań II or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.47%, 21.76% and 18.78%. The model momentum difference is 40.69 points in favour of Lech Poznań II. The input data quality score is 79/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Unibet. The stored estimated EV is -9.84%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Lech Poznań II and Grom Nowy Staw ended 2-4. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.