Match context

The upcoming match between Stargard Szczeciński and Kotwica Kórnik is scheduled for 05.09.2026 12:00 in III Liga - Group 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Stargard Szczeciński are in position 7 with 10 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWL. Kotwica Kórnik are in position 16 with 4 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDL.

Recent results

Stargard Szczeciński recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWLDWWWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Kotwica Kórnik recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLWDDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stargard Szczeciński recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Kotwica Kórnik recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Stargard Szczeciński to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.44%, 19.80% and 18.76%. The model momentum difference is 42.69 points in favour of Stargard Szczeciński. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.91%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Stargard Szczeciński 0 / Kotwica Kórnik 0 supports Stargard Szczeciński by an average 5.45 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 1.81).

What happened in the match

The match between Stargard Szczeciński and Kotwica Kórnik ended 2-4. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Stargard Szczeciński at 0. The stored market movement was 5.45 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-4, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 1.81. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.