Match context

The upcoming match between Pelikan Łowicz and Troszyn is scheduled for 23.08.2026 10:00 in III Liga - Group 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Pelikan Łowicz are in position 3 with 9 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWW. Troszyn are in position 18 with 0 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLL.

Recent results

Pelikan Łowicz recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLWLLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Troszyn recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLWWDW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Pelikan Łowicz or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.78%, 21.35% and 18.88%. The model momentum difference is 40.90 points in favour of Pelikan Łowicz. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Unibet. The stored estimated EV is -9.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Troszyn away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 4 completed matches (25.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Pelikan Łowicz and Troszyn ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.