Match context

The upcoming match between Wigry Suwałki and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is scheduled for 06.09.2026 16:00 in III Liga - Group 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Wigry Suwałki are in position 2 with 12 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWD. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are in position 16 with 2 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDL.

Recent results

Wigry Suwałki recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWDWWWLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLDLLWWLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wigry Suwałki recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Wigry Suwałki to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.36%, 18.86% and 13.78%. The model momentum difference is 53.58 points in favour of Wigry Suwałki. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Wigry Suwałki and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.