Match context

The upcoming match between Marek and Dobrudzha is scheduled for 23.08.2026 15:00 in Second League. The listed venue is Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Marek are in position 16 with 3 points after 3 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLW. Dobrudzha are in position 13 with 4 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDW.

Recent results

Marek recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLLWDWD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dobrudzha recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWLLDDDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marek recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Dobrudzha recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 83.3% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Marek or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.18%, 27.94% and 17.88%. The model momentum difference is 36.30 points in favour of Marek. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -1.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Marek -0.25 / Dobrudzha +0.25 supports Marek by an average 3.69 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.78). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dobrudzha away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 4 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Marek and Dobrudzha ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dobrudzha away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Dobrudzha received 5 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 6 in total. That was 4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Marek at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.69 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.78. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.