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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.03.2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad - Nesebar | 5 : 1 |
| 15.09.2024 | Nesebar - Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1 : 5 |
| 20.04.2019 | Nesebar - Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2 : 3 |
| 06.10.2018 | Pirin Blagoevgrad - Nesebar | 1 : 3 |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.08.2026 | Sportist Svoge - Nesebar | 0 - 1 | W |
| 10.08.2026 | Nesebar - Dobrudzha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04.08.2026 | Montana - Nesebar | 3 - 1 | L |
| 25.07.2026 | Nesebar - Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1 - 5 | L |
| 08.07.2026 | Spartak Varna - Nesebar | 1 - 1 | D |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar 1918 | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09.08.2026 | Sportist Svoge - Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1 - 0 | L |
| 03.08.2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA Sofia II | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28.07.2026 | Dobrudzha - Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 - 1 | L |
| 23.05.2026 | Fratria - Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3 - 0 | L |
The upcoming match between Nesebar and Pirin Blagoevgrad is scheduled for 23.08.2026 15:00 in Second League. The listed venue is Gradski stadion, Nesebar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
Nesebar are in position 10 with 6 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLL. Pirin Blagoevgrad are in position 18 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLL.
Nesebar recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLDWWWWW. The averages are 3.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Pirin Blagoevgrad recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLWLDLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.
Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nesebar recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Pirin Blagoevgrad recorded 3 wins. The average total was 5.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nesebar or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.46%, 26.90% and 16.63%. The model momentum difference is 39.83 points in favour of Nesebar. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.63%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nesebar 0 / Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 supports Nesebar by an average 1.42 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.
1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).
The discipline profile for Nesebar at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 4.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 4 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Pirin Blagoevgrad away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 4 completed matches (75.0% coverage).
The match between Nesebar and Pirin Blagoevgrad ended 7-0. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.25 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.
Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nesebar at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 4 total cards per match. In this game, Nesebar received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Pirin Blagoevgrad away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Pirin Blagoevgrad received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.
The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Nesebar at 0. The stored market movement was 1.42 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 7-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.
The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.
Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.